Investor Presentation: Project Zero - The Blueprint for Xerox
Ticker: XRX | Date: Dec 24, 2025 | Confidential
Slide 1: Title
Project Zero
Unlocking $40/Share Value in Xerox Holdings Corp
Golden Door Research Activist Campaign Deck
Slide 2: Executive Summary
The Thesis in Brief
- The Disconnect: Market prices XRX as a dying business (<5x FCF). We view it as a mismanaged utility with 10+ years of stable cash flow.
- The Opportunity: Operational mismanagement has obscured the underlying profitability. SG&A is ~25% of revenue vs. 14% peer median.
- The Fix ("Project Zero"):
- Cut $400M in bloat (Corporate, Real Estate, "Growth" Sales).
- Kill "Ventures": Stop lighting cash on fire (3D Printing, PARC).
- 100% Capital Return: Buy back 10% of float annually.
Target Price: $27.00 (Base) | $40.00 (Bull) | +200% Upside
Slide 3: The "Melting Ice Cube" Myth
Visual: 10-Year Chart of Revenue vs. Free Cash Flow
Narrative:
- "Wall Street hates Xerox because revenue is declining (-32% in 5 years)."
- But cash flow is resilient. XRX generated $500M+ FCF in 2024.
- The decline is secular (Print is shrinking), but the profitability of that decline is a choice.
- Key Insight: A shrinking business can be a great investment if costs shrink faster than revenue. Xerox management has failed this test.
Slide 4: The Scorecard (Management Failure)
Visual: Table comparing XRX to HPQ (HP Inc) and Sector Median
| Metric | Xerox (XRX) | HP Inc (HPQ) | Sector Median | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | ~32% | 21%* | 60% (Tech) | F |
| SG&A / Rev | 24.5% | 9.8% | 14.2% | F |
| Rev / Employee | $315k | $950k | $500k | F |
| Share Count | -5% YoY | -8% YoY | - | C |
- Note: HP operates with channel leverage. Xerox's direct model is structurally inefficient.
- Conclusion: Xerox is bloated. It runs a "Growth Tech" cost structure on a "Decline Utility" revenue base.
Slide 5: The $680 Million Opportunity (SG&A)
Visual: Waterfall Chart showing potential Op Income Bridge
- Current SG&A: $1.62 Billion (24.5% of Sales)
- Target SG&A: $1.10 Billion (18.0% of Sales - still above median!)
- Savings: $520 Million
- Reinvestment: $120M to Service Quality
- Net Benefit: $400 Million in Incremental Operating Income.
How?
- Exit 50% of leased real estate.
- Reduce layers of middle management (span of control <4).
- Slash "Brand Marketing" (Xerox is a utility; it doesn't need Super Bowl ads).
Slide 6: Stop The "Ventures" Bleeding
Visual: Timeline of Failed "Growth" Pivots
- 2019: Pivot to "3D Printing" -> Sold for loss.
- 2020: Pivot to "Software" -> PARC spun out.
- 2022: Pivot to "FITTLE" (Financing growth) -> Bad debt spike.
- The Reality: Shareholders have paid $1.5 Billion for these experiments.
- The Demand: Shut it down. Maintenance R&D only (<$60M/yr).
Slide 7: The "Project Zero" Financial Model
Visual: Bar chart of EPS Expansion
| Metric | Today | Project Zero |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $6.6B | $6.0B |
| EBIT | $358M | $788M |
| Net Income | $143M | $495M |
| Shares | 125M | 110M |
| EPS | $1.14 | $4.50 |
- Result: Even with revenue falling to $6.0B, EPS quadruples due to cost rightsizing and buybacks.
Slide 8: Valuation & Upside
Visual: Football Field Valuation Chart
-
Status Quo: 8x P/E on $1.14 = $9.12 (Downside Protected by Asset Value)
-
Project Zero (Base): 6x P/E on $4.50 = $27.00 (196% Upside)
-
Project Zero (Bull): 8x P/E on $5.00 = $40.00 (330% Upside)
-
Why 6x? Conservative multiple for a declining but cash-rich asset. Consistent with tobacco/coal stocks.
Slide 9: Implementation Timeline
- Day 0: Freeze all hiring. Freeze all M&A.
- Day 30: Announce "Project Zero" Restructuring.
- Day 90: Exit FITTLE non-core originations.
- Day 180: Complete Real Estate rationalization.
Slide 10: Conclusion
Xerox is the ultimate Self-Help story. It does not need the print market to grow. It does not need a new invention. It just needs discipline.
Vote FOR Project Zero.